Puzzle #78: Probability of #6

This is a wonderful probability puzzle given to me by my nephew, Karan Sharma, who lives in Jaipur and is in Class XII – thanks Karan!

A man is known to speak the truth 3 out of 4 times. He throws a die and reports that it is a six. What is the probability that it is actually a six?

As always, please send your answers directly to me at alokgoyal_2001@yahoo.com. If you like the puzzle, please share it with others. If you have interesting puzzles to share, please send them to me at my e-mail given above.

Happy gambling!

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